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Late lessons from early warnings: science, precaution, innovation

As part of the European Environment Agency’s major publication “Late lessons from early warnings: science, precaution, innovation” (EEA, Copenhagen, 2013) Hartmut Grassl and Bert Metz wrote a chapter on “Climate change: science and the precautionary principle” that analyses the interplay between science and politics on climate change over the last 25 years.

The chapter makes clear that our scientific understanding of the causes and effects of climate change and ways to adapt to it or mitigate it has increased enormously since the late eighties. The scientific assessment reports of the Intergovernmental on Climate Change (IPCC) have played a major role in helping politicians understand the ramifications of this understanding. Nevertheless political action to fight climate change has been slow and inadequate. 

This obviously contradicts with a precautionary approach. The precautionary principle was relevant when the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change was agreed in 1992, but it rapidly lost its significance thereafter. The role of risk perception, risk management and the perceived tension between economic growth and environmental protection has become much more important in understanding the science-politics nexus.

The EEA book chapter is a useful addition to the discussion of climate change and mitigation in Bert Metz's book “Controlling Climate Change” that was published with Cambridge University Press in 2010. The full text of the book can be found (and downloaded free of charge) at www.controllingclimatechange.net  and the EEA chapter at www.controllingclimatechange.net/lectures-and-publications/ .

 

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